Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.214293 1.477760 1.812279 2.279791 2.936408 3.859841 5.326250
2025-02-16 0.829404 1.102958 1.500799 2.158635 3.307014 5.450139 10.533357
2025-02-23 0.665878 0.940462 1.379979 2.206580 3.942647 8.222175 24.963368
2025-03-02 0.573215 0.847890 1.322196 2.316484 4.793851 13.022440 80.359423
2025-03-09 0.497135 0.759677 1.238498 2.328342 5.452937 19.244974 367.249292
2025-03-16 0.430671 0.672566 1.130407 2.234707 5.752419 25.578542 3840.685642
2025-03-23 0.396222 0.635245 1.108751 2.338243 6.855702 44.424432 NaN
2025-03-30 0.361863 0.591538 1.062350 2.356897 7.711936 73.761972 NaN
2025-04-06 0.328291 0.543939 0.996732 2.294146 8.166684 112.223663 NaN
2025-04-13 0.301266 0.505382 0.943601 2.249247 8.710806 186.074823 NaN
2025-04-20 0.290986 0.498836 0.963007 2.448022 11.194646 866.523516 NaN
2025-04-27 0.277441 0.483504 0.957845 2.563793 13.558165 12971.790426 NaN
2025-05-04 0.259162 0.456341 0.919042 2.544318 14.895263 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.239788 0.424809 0.863957 2.441092 15.239792 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.228658 0.410075 0.850705 2.506987 18.004449 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.220695 0.401385 0.852130 2.640867 22.757734 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.209927 0.385138 0.829576 2.655606 25.982872 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.196800 0.362247 0.784593 2.543229 26.193739 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.190963 0.355684 0.785937 2.667652 33.597729 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.183120 0.343636 0.769075 2.690116 39.092802 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.173792 0.327272 0.736864 2.614622 40.825370 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.165689 0.313235 0.710037 2.560702 43.515395 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.163941 0.314367 0.730484 2.800028 67.675057 NaN NaN